x402-factory.com

https://x402-factory.com/v1/probability/:slug

Shares a payout wallet with 122 other endpoints — its adoption is attributed from that shared wallet's traffic, not earned exclusively.

Blended event probability across Kalshi and Polymarket for one market — Liquidity-weighted blend of venue implied probabilities for a canonical market slug, with per-venue detail, cross-venue divergence, and the last 1h move. Resolved markets return 410 RESOLVED with the outcome. Find slugs via /v1/probability/search.

59
reliability

Reliability & health

Uptime and response time from our own unpaid probes, plus the reliability score built from them.

7 days 30 days

Uptime

99.3% avg
0% 50% 100% Thu 8 PMSun 2 AMTue 10 AMThu 6 PM

Response time

p50 58ms · p95 1274ms
0ms 1300ms 2600ms Thu 8 PMSun 2 AMTue 10 AMThu 6 PM
Data table
Reliability history per time bucket over the last 7 days (hourly).
Bucket Uptime Probes Response time
8/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100% 1 21ms
8/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100% 1 21ms
8/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100% 1 35ms
8/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 157ms
8/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100% 1 69ms
8/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100% 1 24ms
8/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 25ms
8/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100% 1 150ms
8/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100% 1 36ms
8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100% 1 16ms
8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100% 1 28ms
8/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100% 1 24ms
8/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 21ms
8/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100% 1 19ms
8/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 1 21ms
8/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100% 1 37ms
8/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 83ms
8/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100% 1 630ms
8/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100% 1 78ms
8/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100% 1 1290ms
8/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100% 1 95ms
8/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 31ms
8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100% 1 18ms
8/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100% 1 19ms
8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 16ms
8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100% 1 18ms
8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100% 1 18ms
8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100% 1 17ms
8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100% 1 96ms
8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100% 1 19ms
8/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100% 1 84ms
8/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 18ms
8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100% 1 95ms
8/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 1 2587ms
8/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100% 1 1796ms
8/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 19ms
8/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100% 1 59ms
8/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100% 1 21ms
8/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100% 1 24ms
8/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 100% 1 18ms
8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 18ms
8/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100% 1 24ms
8/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 16ms
8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100% 1 20ms
8/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100% 1 193ms
8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100% 1 164ms
8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100% 1 102ms
8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100% 1 55ms
8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100% 1 28ms
8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100% 1 114ms
8/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100% 1 21ms
8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 23ms
8/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100% 1 26ms
8/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100% 1 35ms
8/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 96ms
8/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100% 1 78ms
8/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100% 1 1923ms
8/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100% 1 18ms
8/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100% 1 2369ms
8/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 19ms
8/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100% 1 19ms
8/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100% 1 71ms
8/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 29ms
8/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100% 1 47ms
8/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100% 1 210ms
8/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100% 1 26ms
8/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100% 1 56ms
8/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100% 1 25ms
8/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100% 1 65ms
8/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100% 1 74ms
8/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 84ms
8/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100% 1 80ms
8/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 1 28ms
8/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100% 1 63ms
8/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 88ms
8/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100% 1 144ms
8/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100% 1 1959ms
8/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100% 1 72ms
8/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100% 1 99ms
8/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 100% 1 66ms
8/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 37ms
8/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100% 1 23ms
8/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 73ms
8/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100% 1 72ms
8/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100% 1 184ms
8/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100% 1 1630ms
8/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100% 1 69ms
8/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100% 1 38ms
8/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100% 1 73ms
8/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100% 1 89ms
8/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100% 1 109ms
8/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 64ms
8/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100% 1 19ms
8/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 1 80ms
8/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 97ms
8/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100% 1 170ms
8/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100% 1 66ms
8/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100% 1 98ms
8/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100% 1 138ms
8/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100% 1 99ms
8/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 167ms
8/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100% 1 80ms
8/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 46ms
8/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100% 1 1130ms
8/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100% 1 91ms
8/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0% 1 —
8/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100% 1 31ms
8/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100% 1 76ms
8/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100% 1 58ms
8/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100% 1 79ms
8/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100% 1 39ms
8/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100% 1 73ms
8/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 1 72ms
8/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100% 1 21ms
8/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100% 1 20ms
8/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100% 1 94ms
8/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100% 1 177ms
8/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100% 1 1605ms
8/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100% 1 90ms
8/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 100% 1 26ms
8/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100% 1 27ms
8/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100% 1 84ms
8/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100% 1 106ms
8/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100% 1 89ms
8/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100% 1 158ms
8/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100% 1 177ms
8/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100% 1 395ms
8/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100% 1 208ms
59
Composite reliability — the weighted average of the dimensions below, on a 0–100 scale.
Availability
99

How often it was reachable when we probed it (weight 35%).

Latency
100

How quickly it answers when it is up — fast scores high (weight 20%).

Security
99

Whether it serves over working TLS / https (weight 15%).

Transparency
42

Whether the operator disclosed what it does — description, schema, identity (weight 15%).

Activity
1

Observed on-chain payments to this endpoint's wallet — transactions, volume, and distinct paying wallets over the last month (weight 15%; not yet measured when we have not seen its wallet settle).

Confidence 100% — how much probe evidence backs this score. A thin history is flagged, not hidden.

See the scoring methodology for exactly how each number is computed.

Payment

Currencies
USDC
Networks
base
Facilitator
unknown
SDK
unknown

Operator

Company
inferred — unknown
Jurisdiction
—
Registrar
Cloudflare, Inc.
Domain registered
2026-07-19
Hosting network
cloud
Hosting country
US

Operator context is derived from public RDAP/TLS records and unverified. Company and country are only available for endpoints that publish them (an OV/EV TLS certificate or a non-redacted domain record); most endpoints are CDN-fronted and disclose neither.

On-chain activity (base)

335
payments (30d)
7.45
USD volume (30d)
32
paying wallets (30d)

Payments per day

last payment 8/19/2026
0 100 200 Jul 22Jul 28Aug 10Aug 19
Data table
Settled payments per day.
Day Payments Volume (USD) Paying wallets
7/22/2026 5 0.12 2
7/23/2026 3 0.1 1
7/24/2026 5 0.21 3
7/25/2026 2 0.11 1
7/26/2026 71 1.35 2
7/27/2026 6 0.17 3
7/28/2026 3 0.04 2
7/29/2026 8 0.19 1
7/30/2026 1 0.05 1
8/2/2026 1 0.05 1
8/5/2026 5 0.15 5
8/6/2026 51 1.07 18
8/7/2026 1 0.05 1
8/10/2026 2 0.1 1
8/12/2026 101 2.27 2
8/13/2026 2 0.04 1
8/14/2026 20 0.38 2
8/17/2026 1 0.02 1
8/18/2026 5 0.13 2
8/19/2026 42 0.84 2

This payout wallet is shared: figures cover all 123 endpoints paid at it, since payments cannot be attributed to one of them. Only payments settled on chains and facilitators we index.

Linked by wallet — likely same operator

On-chain agent identity and the x402 endpoint that shares its settlement wallet.

https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/fed-next-meeting-hike x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/house-control-next-election x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/sports-nfl x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/world-series-winner x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-us x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/gdp-growth x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/cpi x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/calendar x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/dashboard x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/recalls x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/science-tech x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edgar/events/reg-fd x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/pce-inflation x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-world x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/economics x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/energy/:region x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/contracts/awards/va x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edgar/filings/search x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edgar/events/restatement x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/sports-mlb x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/climate x402 endpoint https://runwayoracle.com/v1/oracle/v3/nyc-edge x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/ping x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/contracts/awards/dhs x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/entertainment x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edgar/events/results x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/crypto x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/climate-events/probability x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edgar/events/acquisitions x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/recalls/food x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/contracts/awards/dod x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/calendar/politics-us x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/calendar/climate x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/calendar/sports-soccer x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/contracts/awards/usda x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/treasury-2y x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/contracts/awards/nasa x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/climate x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/sports-soccer x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/forecast/window x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/recalls/device x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/economics x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edge/backtest x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/core-pce x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/recalls/drug x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/aviation/delay-risk/:iata x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/edgar/watch/proxy-watch x402 endpoint https://x402-factory.com/v1/econ/initial-claims x402 endpoint