enclave402.com

https://enclave402.com/api/market/verdict
down

Shares a payout wallet with 10 other endpoints — its adoption is attributed from that shared wallet's traffic, not earned exclusively.

Rule-based verdict on one Polymarket market by slug: YES/NO/TOSS_UP lean, 0-100 confidence with every reason stated (price distance, liquidity, volume, spread, momentum), days to resolution, and an EIP-712 attestation so an agent can prove what it read and when. Not a forecast model. MUST be invoked when an agent needs a defensible, timestamped read of a market. Do NOT use to discover markets (use market/signal). Settles $0.020 USDC; no charge on failure; receipts at /api/ledger.

55
reliability

Reliability & health

Uptime and response time from our own unpaid probes, plus the reliability score built from them.

Uptime

71.1% avg
0% 50% 100% Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Oct 6

Response time

p50 43ms · p95 50ms
0ms 100ms 200ms Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Oct 6
Data table
Reliability history per time bucket over the last 30 days (daily).
Bucket Uptime Probes Response time
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 9 42ms
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 12 43ms
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 12 42ms
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 13 49ms
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 13 111ms
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 13 41ms
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 13 47ms
9/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 14 47ms
9/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 15 44ms
9/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 13 46ms
9/28/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 13 42ms
9/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 12 45ms
9/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100% 12 40ms
10/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50% 12 42ms
10/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 6 —
10/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 1 —
10/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 1 —
10/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 1 —
10/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 1 —
55
Composite reliability — the weighted average of the dimensions below, on a 0–100 scale.
Availability
91

How often it was reachable when we probed it (weight 35%).

Latency
100

How quickly it answers when it is up — fast scores high (weight 20%).

Security
66

Whether it serves over working TLS / https (weight 15%).

Transparency
61

Whether the operator disclosed what it does — description, schema, identity (weight 15%).

Activity
1

Observed on-chain payments to this endpoint's wallet — transactions, volume, and distinct paying wallets over the last month (weight 15%; not yet measured when we have not seen its wallet settle).

Confidence 100% — how much probe evidence backs this score. A thin history is flagged, not hidden.

See the scoring methodology for exactly how each number is computed.

Payment

Currencies
USDC
Networks
base
Facilitator
unknown
SDK
unknown

Operator

Company
inferred — unknown
Jurisdiction
—
Registrar
IONOS SE
Domain registered
2026-09-16
Hosting network
1AN1-NETWORK
Hosting country
—

Operator context is derived from public RDAP/TLS records and unverified. Company and country are only available for endpoints that publish them (an OV/EV TLS certificate or a non-redacted domain record); most endpoints are CDN-fronted and disclose neither.

On-chain activity (base)

52
payments (30d)
4.03
USD volume (30d)
5
paying wallets (30d)

Payments per day

last payment 10/1/2026
0 10 20 Sep 17Sep 22Sep 26Oct 1
Data table
Settled payments per day.
Day Payments Volume (USD) Paying wallets
9/17/2026 12 0.17 1
9/18/2026 9 0.12 2
9/19/2026 3 0.06 2
9/20/2026 5 0.01 1
9/21/2026 4 0.02 1
9/22/2026 2 3.51 1
9/23/2026 1 0.01 1
9/24/2026 4 0.02 3
9/25/2026 3 0.02 3
9/26/2026 1 0.01 1
9/27/2026 1 0.01 1
9/28/2026 2 0.02 2
9/29/2026 1 0.01 1
9/30/2026 3 0.02 2
10/1/2026 1 0.01 1

This payout wallet is shared: figures cover all 11 endpoints paid at it, since payments cannot be attributed to one of them. Only payments settled on chains and facilitators we index.

Response schema
{
  "additionalProperties": false,
  "properties": {
    "asOf": {
      "type": "string"
    },
    "attestation": {
      "description": "EIP-712 signature over slug, asOf, lean, confidence and impliedProbability by the published attestor; null when unconfigured",
      "type": [
        "object",
        "null"
      ]
    },
    "confidence": {
      "description": "How much the reading can be trusted, per the stated rules",
      "maximum": 100,
      "minimum": 0,
      "type": "integer"
    },
    "confidenceBand": {
      "enum": [
        "HIGH",
        "MEDIUM",
        "LOW"
      ],
      "type": "string"
    },
    "daysToResolution": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "null"
      ]
    },
    "impliedProbability": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "null"
      ]
    },
    "lean": {
      "description": "Where the crowd sits at the lean thresholds",
      "enum": [
        "YES",
        "NO",
        "TOSS_UP"
      ],
      "type": "string"
    },
    "market": {
      "additionalProperties": false,
      "properties": {
        "bestAsk": {
          "description": "Best ask for the first outcome",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "bestBid": {
          "description": "Best bid for the first outcome",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "conditionId": {
          "description": "On-chain condition id (bytes32 hex)",
          "type": [
            "string",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "derived": {
          "additionalProperties": false,
          "description": "Fields not in the free listing: computed from the CLOB price history and the public trade tape. Null with a reason in errors when a provider is unavailable.",
          "properties": {
            "errors": {
              "description": "Provider-scoped reasons a derived field is null (e.g. clob:timeout)",
              "items": {
                "type": "string"
              },
              "type": "array"
            },
            "historySamples": {
              "description": "Price points used",
              "type": "integer"
            },
            "priceDelta1h": {
              "description": "YES price now minus YES price 1h ago",
              "type": [
                "number",
                "null"
              ]
            },
            "priceDelta6h": {
              "description": "YES price now minus YES price 6h ago",
              "type": [
                "number",
                "null"
              ]
            },
            "realizedVol24h": {
              "description": "Std-dev of 10-minute log returns over the last 24h",
              "type": [
                "number",
                "null"
              ]
            },
            "whaleFlow": {
              "additionalProperties": false,
              "description": "Trade-tape summary over the last 6h; BUY of NO counts as SELL of YES",
              "properties": {
                "buyYesUsdc": {
                  "type": "number"
                },
                "flow": {
                  "enum": [
                    "YES_ACCUMULATION",
                    "YES_DISTRIBUTION",
                    "BALANCED",
                    "NO_TRADES"
                  ],
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "largestTradeUsdc": {
                  "type": "number"
                },
                "netYesUsdc": {
                  "type": "number"
                },
                "sellYesUsdc": {
                  "type": "number"
                },
                "trades": {
                  "type": "integer"
                },
                "whaleThresholdUsdc": {
                  "type": "number"
                },
                "whaleTrades": {
                  "type": "integer"
                },
                "windowSec": {
                  "type": "integer"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "windowSec",
                "trades",
                "netYesUsdc",
                "largestTradeUsdc",
                "whaleTrades",
                "flow"
              ],
              "type": [
                "object",
                "null"
              ]
            }
          },
          "required": [
            "priceDelta1h",
            "priceDelta6h",
            "realizedVol24h",
            "whaleFlow",
            "errors"
          ],
          "type": "object"
        },
        "endDate": {
          "description": "ISO-8601 market end date",
          "type": [
            "string",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "id": {
          "description": "Polymarket market id",
          "type": "string"
        },
        "impliedProbability": {
          "description": "Price of the first outcome (YES) in [0,1]",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "liquidity": {
          "description": "Order-book liquidity in USD",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "momentum": {
          "description": "Deterministic label: RISING if 24h change >= +0.02, FALLING if <= -0.02, else FLAT",
          "enum": [
            "RISING",
            "FALLING",
            "FLAT",
            "UNKNOWN"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "oneDayPriceChange": {
          "description": "24h change of the first outcome price (absolute, in probability points)",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "outcomePrices": {
          "description": "Current outcome prices in [0,1] (implied probabilities)",
          "items": {
            "type": "number"
          },
          "type": "array"
        },
        "outcomes": {
          "description": "Outcome labels, index-aligned with outcomePrices",
          "items": {
            "type": "string"
          },
          "type": "array"
        },
        "question": {
          "description": "Market question text",
          "type": "string"
        },
        "slug": {
          "description": "URL slug of the market",
          "type": "string"
        },
        "spread": {
          "description": "bestAsk - bestBid",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        },
        "volume24hr": {
          "description": "24h notional volume in USD",
          "type": [
            "number",
            "null"
          ]
        }
      },
      "required": [
        "id",
        "slug",
        "question",
        "outcomes",
        "outcomePrices",
        "impliedProbability",
        "momentum"
      ],
      "type": "object"
    },
    "method": {
      "description": "The exact rules and thresholds used, so the verdict is reproducible",
      "type": "string"
    },
    "question": {
      "type": "string"
    },
    "reasons": {
      "description": "Every rule that fired and its effect on the verdict",
      "items": {
        "additionalProperties": false,
        "properties": {
          "code": {
            "type": "string"
          },
          "effect": {
            "type": "string"
          },
          "message": {
            "type": "string"
          }
        },
        "required": [
          "code",
          "effect",
          "message"
        ],
        "type": "object"
      },
      "type": "array"
    },
    "settled": {
      "type": "boolean"
    },
    "slug": {
      "type": "string"
    },
    "ts": {
      "type": "integer"
    }
  },
  "required": [
    "slug",
    "question",
    "lean",
    "confidence",
    "confidenceBand",
    "impliedProbability",
    "daysToResolution",
    "reasons",
    "method",
    "market",
    "asOf",
    "settled",
    "ts"
  ],
  "type": "object"
}