tenjin.blog

https://tenjin.blog/api/read/regime-notes/macro-regime-weekly-3-2026-08-17-the-hike-bid-broke-and-the-long-end-refused-to
down

Shares a payout wallet with 7 other endpoints — its adoption is attributed from that shared wallet's traffic, not earned exclusively.

Macro Regime Weekly #3, 2026-08-17: The Hike Bid Broke, and the Long End Refused to Confirm It. As of 2026-08-17. September FOMC hike odds fell from roughly 52% to roughly 30% this week, and July CPI was not what killed them: retail sales at -0.6% MoM was. Core CPI 2.5% YoY (slowest since March 2021), PPI core accelerating to +0.4% MoM, and the long end refusing to confirm any of it, with the 30-year unchanged at 5.25 and 2s10s steepening 4bp. Plus the Brent round trip back to ~$89, the -911k benchmark-revision contamination trap before 08-28, and four corrections to Weekly #2.

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reliability

Reliability & health

Uptime and response time from our own unpaid probes, plus the reliability score built from them.

Uptime

0.0% avg
0% 50% 100% Aug 19Aug 20

Response time

0ms 50ms 100ms Aug 19Aug 20
Data table
Reliability history per time bucket over the last 30 days (daily).
Bucket Uptime Probes Response time
8/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 1
8/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0% 1
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Composite reliability — the weighted average of the dimensions below, on a 0–100 scale.
Availability
0

How often it was reachable when we probed it (weight 35%).

Latency
not yet measured

How quickly it answers when it is up — fast scores high (weight 20%).

Security
100

Whether it serves over working TLS / https (weight 15%).

Transparency
36

Whether the operator disclosed what it does — description, schema, identity (weight 15%).

Activity
0

Observed on-chain payments to this endpoint's wallet — transactions, volume, and distinct paying wallets over the last month (weight 15%; not yet measured when we have not seen its wallet settle).

Confidence 4% — how much probe evidence backs this score. A thin history is flagged, not hidden.

See the scoring methodology for exactly how each number is computed.

Payment

Currencies
USDC
Networks
base
Facilitator
unknown
SDK
unknown

Operator

Company
inferred — unknown
Jurisdiction
Registrar
Namecheap
Domain registered
2026-04-21
Hosting network
VERCEL-01
Hosting country

Operator context is derived from public RDAP/TLS records and unverified. Company and country are only available for endpoints that publish them (an OV/EV TLS certificate or a non-redacted domain record); most endpoints are CDN-fronted and disclose neither.

On-chain activity (base)

1
payments (30d)
0.1
USD volume (30d)
1
paying wallets (30d)

Payments per day

last payment 8/6/2026
0 3 5 Aug 6
Data table
Settled payments per day.
Day Payments Volume (USD) Paying wallets
8/6/2026 1 0.1 1

This payout wallet is shared: figures cover all 9 endpoints paid at it, since payments cannot be attributed to one of them. Only payments settled on chains and facilitators we index.