straits.live
https://straits.live/api/premium/risk-premiumShares a payout wallet with 7 other endpoints — its adoption is attributed from that shared wallet's traffic, not earned exclusively.
Strait of Hormuz war-risk transit premium nowcast: a live MODELED war-risk insurance multiple (Nx over the peace baseline, on the published 1x-80x scale) for moving a tanker through the strait, recomputed every 5 minutes from throughput deviation (IMF PortWatch), the escalation forecast (Polymarket + Kalshi + Manifold + Brent-WTI spread), crude implied volatility (OVX), and event pressure (news and maritime RSS feeds, the PGSA incident feed and GDELT). The standing straits.live insurance-estimate multiple is carried only as a static reference (it is set manually and changes infrequently); the modeled figure is the live signal, not a divergence from that anchor. Returns a band, a curated VLCC war-premium band ($/voyage, estimated separately from the modeled multiple and not derived from it), per-driver detail, and a confidence that degrades on stale feeds or thin market volume. A modeled situational-awareness indicator, not an insurance quote.
Reliability & health
Uptime and response time from our own unpaid probes, plus the reliability score built from them.
Uptime
96.4% avgResponse time
p50 308ms · p95 790msData table
| Bucket | Uptime | Probes | Response time |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 0% | 1 | — |
| 9/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 0% | 1 | — |
| 10/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 365ms |
| 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 365ms |
| 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 361ms |
| 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 549ms |
| 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 585ms |
| 10/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 1006ms |
| 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 559ms |
| 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 343ms |
| 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 291ms |
| 10/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 300ms |
| 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 299ms |
| 10/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 324ms |
| 10/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 303ms |
| 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 674ms |
| 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 316ms |
| 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 284ms |
| 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 665ms |
| 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 295ms |
| 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 313ms |
| 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 294ms |
| 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 288ms |
| 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 325ms |
| 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 560ms |
| 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 296ms |
| 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 324ms |
| 10/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 297ms |
| 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 286ms |
| 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 293ms |
| 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 316ms |
| 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 288ms |
| 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 286ms |
| 10/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 323ms |
| 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 298ms |
| 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 306ms |
| 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 304ms |
| 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 305ms |
| 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 296ms |
| 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 606ms |
| 10/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 295ms |
| 10/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 1580ms |
| 10/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 283ms |
| 10/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 592ms |
| 10/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 307ms |
| 10/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 298ms |
| 10/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 310ms |
| 10/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 1090ms |
| 10/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 280ms |
| 10/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 309ms |
| 10/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 440ms |
| 10/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 282ms |
| 10/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 445ms |
| 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 347ms |
| 10/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 100% | 1 | 287ms |
| 10/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 100% | 1 | 308ms |
- Availability
- 95
- Latency
- 100
- Security
- 100
- Transparency
- 61
- Activity
- 1
How often it was reachable when we probed it (weight 35%).
How quickly it answers when it is up — fast scores high (weight 20%).
Whether it serves over working TLS / https (weight 15%).
Whether the operator disclosed what it does — description, schema, identity (weight 15%).
Observed on-chain payments to this endpoint's wallet — transactions, volume, and distinct paying wallets over the last month (weight 15%; not yet measured when we have not seen its wallet settle).
Confidence 100% — how much probe evidence backs this score. A thin history is flagged, not hidden.
See the scoring methodology for exactly how each number is computed.
Payment
- Currencies
- USDC
- Networks
- base
- Facilitator
- unknown
- SDK
- unknown
Operator
- Company
- inferred — unknown
- Jurisdiction
- —
- Registrar
- Cloudflare, Inc
- Domain registered
- 2026-03-26
- Hosting network
- CLOUDFLARENET
- Hosting country
- —
Operator context is derived from public RDAP/TLS records and unverified. Company and country are only available for endpoints that publish them (an OV/EV TLS certificate or a non-redacted domain record); most endpoints are CDN-fronted and disclose neither.
On-chain activity (base)
Payments per day
last payment 10/6/2026Data table
| Day | Payments | Volume (USD) | Paying wallets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/7/2026 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 |
| 9/8/2026 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 9/9/2026 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 |
| 9/10/2026 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 |
| 9/11/2026 | 4 | 0.06 | 3 |
| 9/12/2026 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 9/13/2026 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 9/14/2026 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 |
| 9/15/2026 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 9/17/2026 | 4 | 0.06 | 3 |
| 9/21/2026 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 9/22/2026 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 9/25/2026 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 9/28/2026 | 14 | 0.28 | 2 |
| 9/29/2026 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 10/1/2026 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 10/4/2026 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 10/5/2026 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 10/6/2026 | 8 | 0.17 | 2 |
This payout wallet is shared: figures cover all 8 endpoints paid at it, since payments cannot be attributed to one of them. Only payments settled on chains and facilitators we index.
Linked by wallet — likely same operator
On-chain agent identity and the x402 endpoint that shares its settlement wallet.
Response schema
{
"additionalProperties": true,
"properties": {
"asOf": {
"format": "date-time",
"type": "string"
},
"band": {
"enum": [
"baseline",
"elevated",
"uneconomic",
"severe",
"closure-level"
],
"type": "string"
},
"confidence": {
"description": "0-1; degrades when driver feeds are stale/missing or escalation-market volume is thin",
"type": "number"
},
"degraded": {
"description": "Drivers that were stale or missing and dropped out of the estimate",
"items": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": "array"
},
"drivers": {
"description": "Per-driver score, raw value, health, and weight: throughput, escalation, ovx, event",
"type": "object"
},
"modeledMultiple": {
"description": "Live modeled war-risk multiple, 1x (peace) to 80x (top of the published curve). The headline figure.",
"type": "number"
},
"reference": {
"description": "Static context: jwcMultiple (the standing straits.live insurance-estimate multiple, manually set and infrequently changed), asOf, source, and a note. NOT a live comparator.",
"type": "object"
},
"schema": {
"type": "string"
},
"vlccWarPremiumUsd": {
"description": "VLCC war-premium band (low/high USD per voyage): the curated market-reported range, estimated separately from modeledMultiple, so the two will not divide exactly",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
}
},
"required": [
"schema",
"modeledMultiple",
"band",
"confidence"
],
"type": "object"
}